In his 1986 dissertation, Campbell Harvey developed the Inverted Yield Curve, one of the most accurate models available for predicting a recession.

But Harvey says this looming recession might be different—harder to get a read on because of the complex and uncertain economic conditions.

CFO Brew spoke to Harvey about what finance professionals should be thinking about in the near-term, how to find a competitive edge during a recession, and why the Fed might be making things worse.